• This Becher Chase stats guide has five key race trends including betting and course form

    Becher Chase stats guide: 5 key trends for Aintree handicap

    Our Becher Chase stats guide highlights five key trends for punters

    Hurdle Bet’s Becher Chase stats guide gives those having a bet five key trends for this 3m 2f Grade 3 handicap over the Grand National fences.

    The feature race at Aintree on Saturday (13:30) is the Becher Chase and Blaklion is currently the 3/1 favourite to land the 3m 2f handicap contest.

    This race is run over the famous Grand National fences with 21 obstacles to be jumped.

    Two Becher winners have gone on to land the Grand National, Amberleigh House (2001) and Silver Birch (2004).

    Earth Summit won the race in 1998 following his Grand National win earlier in the year.

    Here’s a look at five key trends in our Becher Chase stats guide…

    Age

    Gas Line Boy (far right)) meets the age profile, according to our Becher Chase stats guide.

    Eight of the last 10 Becher winners were aged nine or older.

    Nine-year-old horses have the best recent record in the race, landing five of the last 10 renewals.

    That’s a plus for the likes of Gas Line Boy and 2016 Grand National runner-up The Last Samuri.

    It’s a negative, however, for market leader Blaklion who is eight.

    Betting

    Eleven of the last 20 winners have gone off in single figures.

    Our Becher Chase stats guide says Highland Lodge features towards the head of the betting because he’s won this Aintree race before.

    The front six in the Becher betting tend to run well.

    They are currently Blaklion, Gas Line Boy, The Last Samuri, Vieux Lion Rouge and 2015 victor Highland Lodge.

    Course form

    Ten of the last 21 Becher winners had previously run in the Grand National.

    In the last 20 runnings, only five have managed to score at their first attempt over these unique obstacles.

    Lots of this year’s Becher entries have previously run over the Grand National fences.

    Another of the key trends in our Becher Chase stats guide is course form, and Vieux Lion Rouge has that after winning at Aintree last season.

    They include Blaklion, who finished a fine fourth in the big race back in April; Gas Line Boy who came fifth; The Last Samuri and last year’s winner of this race Vieux Lion Rouge.

    Ratings

    All of the last 18 Becher victors were rated no higher than 148.

    Three-quarters of the remaining 24 entries meet that criteria.

    Those with an official mark above 148 are As De Mee, Blaklion, Sizing Codelco, The Last Samuri, Vicente and Vieux Lion Rouge.

    Are these familiar names vulnerable to an improving horse, then?

    Trainers

    Nigel Twiston-Davies is the most successful trainer in Becher Chase history with five winners to his name, courtesy of Indian Tonic (1993) Young Hustler (1995), Earth Summit (1998) and Hello Bud (2010 and 2012).

    Trainers are another key trend in our Becher Chase stats guide and Blaklion (left) represents five-time winning handler Nigel Twiston-Davies.

    The Naunton based handler is responsible for the heavily-backed favourite Blaklion.

    Paul Nicholls also has a good record, having saddled three winners, and he’s set to be represented by As De Mee.

    Irish trained horses, meanwhile, have won three of the last 12 renewals.

    Lord Windermere, who won the 2014 Cheltenham Gold Cup, is one of five Enerald Isle entries in this year’s Becher.

    The shortest in the betting is the Mouse Morris trained Rogue Angel, who won the 2016 Irish Grand National.

    Conclusion

    Age apart, Blaklion has plenty going for him but looks short enough in the betting.

    Gas Line Boy also ticks plenty of boxes, so is a solid each-way betting proposition at the current 8/1 on offer with BetVictor, who are paying a quarter of those odds for four places.

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