Our Becher Chase stats guide highlights five key trends for punters
Hurdle Bet’s Becher Chase stats guide gives those having a bet five key trends for this 3m 2f Grade 3 handicap over the Grand National fences.
The feature race at Aintree on Saturday (13:30) is the Becher Chase and Blaklion is currently the 3/1 favourite to land the 3m 2f handicap contest.
This race is run over the famous Grand National fences with 21 obstacles to be jumped.
Two Becher winners have gone on to land the Grand National, Amberleigh House (2001) and Silver Birch (2004).
Earth Summit won the race in 1998 following his Grand National win earlier in the year.
Here’s a look at five key trends in our Becher Chase stats guide…
Eight of the last 10 Becher winners were aged nine or older.
Nine-year-old horses have the best recent record in the race, landing five of the last 10 renewals.
That’s a plus for the likes of Gas Line Boy and 2016 Grand National runner-up The Last Samuri.
It’s a negative, however, for market leader Blaklion who is eight.
Eleven of the last 20 winners have gone off in single figures.
The front six in the Becher betting tend to run well.
They are currently Blaklion, Gas Line Boy, The Last Samuri, Vieux Lion Rouge and 2015 victor Highland Lodge.
Ten of the last 21 Becher winners had previously run in the Grand National.
In the last 20 runnings, only five have managed to score at their first attempt over these unique obstacles.
Lots of this year’s Becher entries have previously run over the Grand National fences.
They include Blaklion, who finished a fine fourth in the big race back in April; Gas Line Boy who came fifth; The Last Samuri and last year’s winner of this race Vieux Lion Rouge.
All of the last 18 Becher victors were rated no higher than 148.
Three-quarters of the remaining 24 entries meet that criteria.
Those with an official mark above 148 are As De Mee, Blaklion, Sizing Codelco, The Last Samuri, Vicente and Vieux Lion Rouge.
Are these familiar names vulnerable to an improving horse, then?
Nigel Twiston-Davies is the most successful trainer in Becher Chase history with five winners to his name, courtesy of Indian Tonic (1993) Young Hustler (1995), Earth Summit (1998) and Hello Bud (2010 and 2012).
The Naunton based handler is responsible for the heavily-backed favourite Blaklion.
Paul Nicholls also has a good record, having saddled three winners, and he’s set to be represented by As De Mee.
Irish trained horses, meanwhile, have won three of the last 12 renewals.
Lord Windermere, who won the 2014 Cheltenham Gold Cup, is one of five Enerald Isle entries in this year’s Becher.
The shortest in the betting is the Mouse Morris trained Rogue Angel, who won the 2016 Irish Grand National.
Age apart, Blaklion has plenty going for him but looks short enough in the betting.
Gas Line Boy also ticks plenty of boxes, so is a solid each-way betting proposition at the current 8/1 on offer with BetVictor, who are paying a quarter of those odds for four places.
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